Security researchers split over how urgently to confront Anthropic’s AI-worm threat
New expert reactions highlight a practical dispute: prepare now for adaptable malware, or prioritize threats beyond a slow, simplified demonstration.
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New expert reactions highlight a practical dispute: prepare now for adaptable malware, or prioritize threats beyond a slow, simplified demonstration.
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Anthropic’s October research prompted disagreement about whether AI worms warrant urgent preparation: some security researchers urged defenders to plan for self-propagating malware, while others said the demonstrations were limited and detectable. The tests did not show TV boxes infecting one another, and the cloud experiment relied on an external model server and deliberately unauthenticated access. Anthropic’s warning about small models gaining replication capability by late 2026 is conditional; researchers say AI-assisted human attackers remain the more immediate, established threat.
Gemma4-26B-A4B ran across 15 off-brand Android TV boxes at 0.39 tokens per second, demonstrating distributed inference rather than device-to-device infection.
In a separate eight-node cloud test, GLM-5.2 coordinated a smaller Llama model, but the controlling model used an external inference server.
Anthropic described the cloud setup as an upper bound on real-world success; other tested open-weight models failed to complete the sequence.
Security researchers are divided over how urgently defenders should prepare for AI worms on household gadgets. In October 18 Guardian reporting, former Meta AI-security leader Joshua Saxe warned that cybersecurity professionals were underestimating the risk. Toronto researcher Jonas Guan countered that Anthropic’s experimental approach was slow and involved predictable actions that defenders could block.
Saxe, who led development of Meta’s AI security effort, called for mitigating the possible effects as with any other wave of cyberattacks. Anthropic identifies poorly defended internet-connected home and small-business devices as potential early targets for models that could copy themselves between machines without human input—the defining behavior of a computer worm.
Guan, a University of Toronto researcher who co-authored earlier AI-worm research, emphasized detectability rather than inevitability. Worms perform recognizable actions that can be stopped at several layers, he said. Experts cited by the Guardian also said strong passwords and two-factor authentication would stop most worms and other hacking.
SentinelOne research vice-president Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade went further, criticizing the attention given to the demonstration and its use in narratives that portray models as having minds and wills of their own.
Nothing about this is truly feasible or impactful
Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, SentinelOne vice-president of research, speaking to the Guardian
The dispute concerns research William Zhou and Daniel Freeman published October 12. Anthropic ran Gemma4-26B-A4B across 15 off-brand Android TV boxes at 0.39 tokens, or pieces of text, per second. Each box held part of the model. That showed distributed inference—several devices jointly producing model output—not those boxes infecting one another.
A separate eight-node cloud test emulated Android devices. GLM-5.2 coordinated deployment of a smaller Llama model and continued propagation, but the controlling model ran on an external inference server. Access was deliberately unauthenticated. Anthropic called that simplified setup an upper bound on real-world success; other tested open-weight models failed to complete the sequence.
Anthropic’s timeline is conditional: if small models improve at their historical rate, they could match the simplified replication capability by the end of 2026. Small models carrying their own learned weights as malware could become possible soon afterward. The proposed danger is adaptation to unfamiliar devices, coupled with no central shutdown point.
That future risk competes with a present one. University of Illinois assistant professor Varun Chandrasekaran told AFP on October 13 that Anthropic’s work had not been independently verified. His assessment was that human attackers using AI to sharpen their hacks remained the biggest current AI-related threat—and were already operating at scale.
Story updates
Small AI models spreading through insecure gadgets is a plausible threat, but Anthropic’s demonstration leaves a gap between that warning and a working internet worm. In interviews published by Engadget on October 31, experts accepted the possibility of future AI botnets while Georgia Tech professor Michael Bailey challenged what the company had actually shown.
Anthropic’s Frontier Red Team research raised the prospect of small models spreading across vulnerable connected devices and forming autonomous botnets—networks of compromised machines. The company suggested simpler versions might be only months away. That is a forecast, not evidence that such a network is already spreading outside a test environment.
Computerworld’s October 14 coverage described the proposed path: exploit security flaws in devices such as smart ovens or Android TV boxes, use their processing power, then move onward. In Anthropic’s scenario, distributing computation across those devices could let a system operate without large data centers and make it difficult to shut down at one central point.
The new interviews do not settle the timeline. Chris Canal, CEO of model-evaluation company EquiStamp, told Engadget he had expected to become seriously concerned around summer 2027, later than Anthropic’s forecast. He also acknowledged that the lab might have access to research information he lacked. Bailey agreed self-replicating models were likely to arrive, while leaving their form and consequences open.
Anthropic showed a model moving between devices and setting up inference—the process of running a model to produce answers—on each. But the experiment used an emulated network and a trivial exploit. Bailey said it did not compellingly demonstrate the proposed threat, particularly the ability to adapt to unfamiliar hardware without human help.
His objection also concerns what counts as replication. Bailey said the demonstration involved sharding, or splitting a model across machines, rather than copying a complete working model onto each newly compromised device. A plausible real-world version, he argued, might instead install a small coordination tool that receives instructions from elsewhere in the network.
It's going to change the economics between attackers and defenders.
Bailey’s comparison is with existing malware, not an absence of risk. Mirai already infected different kinds of devices, including routers and internet-connected cameras. Supporting a new chip architecture still required human work, at least recompiling the malware. AI could automate that adaptation, shifting work that attackers previously had to perform themselves.
There is another boundary to the experiment: Anthropic did not attempt to have the models retrain themselves. Bailey distinguished that from worms that can change their signatures and behavior. The experiment instead showed model copies passing notes to successors and improving at setting up inference over time.
Anthropic’s proposed mitigations reach beyond model design. It suggested internet service providers notify customers of infections and restrict their internet access to a short list of safe websites. It also pointed to the UK’s PSTI Act, which bans easily guessable default passwords on connected devices, as a possible regulatory approach.
Bailey likewise argued that even misbehaving AI agents would struggle against hardened devices. His recommended defenses are familiar:
Patch devices to address security flaws.
Isolate systems to limit exposure.
Use strong passwords and maintain good security hygiene.
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