Artificial Analysis adds confidence-aware scoring to its AI decision benchmark
Decision Index v2 increases private testing and shows why answer accuracy, complete-document reliability and cost can point to different model choices.
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Decision Index v2 increases private testing and shows why answer accuracy, complete-document reliability and cost can point to different model choices.
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Artificial Analysis released Decision Index v2 on November 8, 2026, changing leaderboard incentives from answer accuracy alone to confidence calibration and expanding private evaluations. Results expose tradeoffs raw accuracy misses: Clef passes more AA-Paperclip documents than Celeris-1.1 Decision, but calibration ties their Decision Scores, while Drex Max v1.1 approaches Claude Haiku 5.5 (Max) in answer accuracy yet trails on complete-document success. The benchmark also makes price and speed more visible, so model selection depends on task-level economics as well as score.
Private datasets now make up 45% of the index, up from 25%; AA-Paperclip alone tests 1,500 documents and requires all 15 answers per document to be correct.
AA-Symmetry accounts for 15% of the index and checks consistency across 120 base questions and 440 variations.
Drex Max v1.1 scores 73 at $102 per million tasks; GPT-6 Luna (Max) scores 76 at $1,530 and takes 11.34 seconds per task versus Drex’s 275 milliseconds.
Getting more answers right is no longer enough to lead Artificial Analysis’ benchmark for AI decision-making. Models also need confidence that reflects their correctness. Released November 8, 2026, Decision Index v2 introduces confidence-aware scoring and more private tests, with results that separate individual-answer accuracy from reliable document processing and the cost of completed tasks.
The new Decision Score combines correctness with calibration: how closely a model’s stated confidence matches whether it is right. A confident correct answer earns more; a confident mistake loses more. Artificial Analysis says the score averages the payoff across confidence cutoffs for accepting an answer or escalating it to a person or stronger model.
The distinction changes comparisons. In Artificial Analysis’ results, Clef passes 36% of AA-Paperclip documents against Celeris-1.1 Decision’s 24%, yet the two match on Decision Score because Celeris is better calibrated. Drex Max v1.1 and GLiDE v1.2 both score 73 overall; Mammoth 27B follows at 72.
Private datasets now account for 45% of the index, up from 25%. Artificial Analysis says the revision aims to guard against benchmark gaming. Two additions examine different failure modes:
The document requirement exposes a gap that individual answers obscure. Drex gets 97% of AA-Paperclip answers right, close to Claude Haiku 5.5 (Max) at 99%. But Drex passes 63% of complete documents, versus Haiku’s 92%.
Token prices alone also obscure costs. Drex bills a document’s input once for its questions; GLiDE processes and bills each question separately. Artificial Analysis puts GLiDE at $780 per million tasks—nearly eight times Drex’s cost despite only 33% higher list prices.
Higher-scoring language models also take longer in this evaluation. GPT-6 Luna (Max) records 11.34 seconds per task, against Drex’s 275 milliseconds. Those are benchmark-specific tradeoffs, not guarantees for every workload.
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