CoreWeave and Nebius fall nearly 5% after Microsoft spending misses estimates
Azure revenue rose 48%, while Microsoft attributed the slower growth in spending to payment timing and fewer finance leases.
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Azure revenue rose 48%, while Microsoft attributed the slower growth in spending to payment timing and fewer finance leases.
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Microsoft reported $45.2 billion in quarterly capital expenditures and finance leases, $5.5 billion below analysts’ average estimate, despite spending about 30% more than a year earlier. Azure revenue grew 48%, but the spending shortfall unsettled investors in AI infrastructure suppliers: CoreWeave and Nebius shares fell nearly 5% in extended trading, and IREN lost about 3%. For neoclouds that depend on Microsoft as a customer, the results put attention on the pace and timing of its infrastructure commitments—not just Azure demand.
Microsoft attributed Azure’s faster growth relative to spending partly to timing differences between receiving goods and paying for them, and to a lower share of finance leases.
Microsoft is a top customer of CoreWeave, making its infrastructure spending especially relevant to the cloud provider.
A late-2025 agreement commits Microsoft to nearly $20 billion in computing capacity from Nebius through the 2030s.
Microsoft’s quarterly spending fell short of Wall Street expectations on October 28, sending shares of AI cloud providers lower in extended trading. CoreWeave and Nebius dropped almost 5%, while IREN lost about 3%. The reaction put Microsoft’s infrastructure partners under pressure even as the company reported sharply higher Azure revenue.
The figure investors were weighing was $45.2 billion in quarterly capital expenditures and finance leases. That was about 30% higher than a year earlier, but below the $50.7 billion average analyst estimate compiled by StreetAccount. The gap between actual spending and that estimate was $5.5 billion.
The miss was against expectations, not a year-over-year reduction in spending. Microsoft was still committing substantially more money than a year earlier. Its Azure revenue grew faster still: Microsoft said revenue from the cloud business rose 48%, compared with the roughly 30% increase in capital expenditures and finance leases.
Microsoft’s explanation centered on when goods arrived, when it paid for them, and the share of spending represented by finance leases. Those factors, the company said in its earnings presentation, explained why Azure revenue growth outpaced the increase in spending. It pointed to timing and the financing mix rather than weaker Azure growth.
Growth was higher than capital expenditures driven by timing differences between receipt of goods and payment and a lower mix of finance leases.
Microsoft, in its earnings presentation, quoted by CNBC
The connection to CoreWeave and Nebius is commercial, not simply a shared exposure to AI stocks. Microsoft relies on specialist cloud providers, often called neoclouds, for AI infrastructure capacity. It is a top customer of CoreWeave, making its spending results directly relevant to one of the companies whose shares fell.
Nebius has a long-term relationship with Microsoft too. Late in 2025, Microsoft signed a nearly $20 billion agreement with the company for computing capacity extending through the 2030s. That existing commitment helps explain why a Microsoft earnings release carries stakes for suppliers beyond Microsoft’s own shareholders.
Story updates
Microsoft’s cloud business grew sharply while its capital bill came in below plan. In its October 28 fiscal first-quarter results, the company posted 48% Azure revenue growth and $18.6 billion in free cash flow. The cash result exceeded analyst expectations by about $10 billion, offering relief from concerns about the cost of its AI buildout.
Shares rose 2.6% in extended trading, paring earlier gains, according to Reuters. The quarter ended September 30 and opened Microsoft’s fiscal 2027 year. Companywide revenue reached $92.3 billion, up 19%, while operating income increased 21% to $45.9 billion.
Azure generated $33.17 billion in quarterly revenue, above the $32.84 billion estimate compiled by Visible Alpha. The dollar figure adds a measure of the platform’s scale alongside its growth rate. Microsoft said last month that it would begin disclosing Azure revenue in dollars rather than reporting only percentage growth.
The wider Microsoft Cloud business brought in $63.9 billion, up 30% from a year earlier. CFO Amy Hood said that growth had accelerated and that revenue, operating income and earnings per share exceeded the company’s expectations. Commercial remaining performance obligations reached $677 billion, an increase of 73%, adding a large contracted-business backlog to the quarter’s revenue gains.
Capital expenditure was $45.2 billion, below Microsoft’s $50 billion projection. That shortfall accompanied the stronger cash-flow result, but spending still rose substantially from $34.9 billion a year earlier. The quarter therefore showed a miss against the company’s spending forecast, not a year-over-year pullback in investment.
Microsoft’s capital expenditure increased from the year-earlier quarter, despite falling below its current-quarter projection.
Jonathan Neilson, Microsoft’s vice president of investor relations, told Reuters that some third-party capacity deliveries expected during the first quarter had been delayed. He attributed the lower expenditure to those delays rather than a change in the company’s underlying spending plans. That distinction limits how far investors can read the quarter’s lower bill as lasting spending restraint.
Microsoft had spent $118.1 billion through the first nine months of calendar 2026. To reach the $175 billion annual forecast it gave in July, it would need to spend another $56.9 billion in the final three months. Those figures leave a substantial final-quarter investment requirement if Microsoft is to meet that earlier full-year target.
Microsoft beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings estimate, delivering $4.89 per share against an expected $4.73. Its release also separates the effect of its OpenAI investments from operating performance. The distinction produces notably different profit-growth rates, even though the current quarter’s investment gain was relatively small.
Under standard accounting rules, net income was $36.6 billion, up 32%, and diluted earnings were $4.92 per share.
Excluding investment effects from OpenAI, adjusted net income was $36.4 billion, up 18%, and diluted earnings were $4.89 per share.
OpenAI investment gains added $207 million to net income and three cents to earnings per share this quarter. A year earlier, OpenAI investment losses had reduced net income by $3.1 billion and earnings by 41 cents per share. Moving from a loss to a gain helped lift reported profit growth above the adjusted rate.
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