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EquityZen Sees Private Shares Trade 38% Below Last Rounds as AI Draws Premiums

The gap gives employees and early investors a more immediate liquidity signal than a startup’s headline valuation, while raising new questions about execution, financing risk and the durability of AI demand.

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EquityZen Sees Private Shares Trade 38% Below Last Rounds as AI Draws Premiums

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Private-company shares are changing hands at a very different price from the valuation investors saw in the last funding round. EquityZen says its average secondary transaction traded 38 percent below that last round, even as many AI deals traded at premiums. The reason is that these prices answer different questions. A primary round records what investors agreed to pay at one moment, often for preferred stock with extra rights and liquidation preferences. A secondary transaction is closer to a real-time signal of what an existing shareholder might actually receive. That is pushing younger companies toward controlled liquidity programs and tender offers, giving employees and early investors a way to sell without waiting for an acquisition or public offering. Phil Haslett, EquityZen’s co-founder and chief strategy officer, sees two distinct groups shaping the market. Companies that raised at lofty valuations in 2021 have had to adapt as AI changed the competitive landscape, and slower growth or harder execution can translate into discounts. By contrast, AI-first companies founded from 2023 onward can attract premiums when buyers expect another financing round at a higher valuation. But that premium comes with a bill. Infrastructure and robotics companies may need factories, regulatory approvals, and more capital before reaching the next milestone. And if things go badly, creditors are paid before secondary shareholders. The next signal is whether AI execution can keep supporting premiums—and whether institutional buyers, including Morgan Stanley and Charles Schwab’s Forge, make private-market liquidity more routine.

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3 key points

EquityZen is seeing a sharper divide between private companies burdened by 2021-era valuations and newer AI-first startups attracting expectations of another financing step-up. Its data suggests secondary pricing is becoming a practical test of current liquidity, not simply a reflection of the last primary round. That shift is encouraging tender offers and controlled employee liquidity, while acquisitions by Morgan...

  1. 01

    EquityZen’s average secondary transaction traded 38% below the company’s last funding round.

  2. 02

    AI-first companies founded from 2023 onward can command premiums when buyers anticipate a near-term valuation increase.

  3. 03

    Secondary buyers must account for factory construction, regulatory approvals, further fundraising, and creditor priority in distress.

Private-company shareholders are finding that the last fundraising valuation may not match the price they can realize today. EquityZen says its average secondary transaction traded at a 38% discount to the company’s last round, while many AI transactions traded at premiums.

What a secondary price measures

The difference is partly structural. A primary financing valuation reflects what investors agreed to pay at one moment, often for preferred stock with added rights and liquidation preferences. A secondary price is a more immediate indication of what a holder could receive for shares, according to Phil Haslett, EquityZen’s co-founder and chief strategy officer.

That is changing how companies approach liquidity. Haslett says younger private businesses are increasingly using controlled liquidity programs and tender offers to retain employees and give shareholders a path to sell. Investors, he says, are also more willing to buy through those transactions. The current balance favors founders and employees, but he expects it could shift if markets weaken.

Two vintages are setting the price

Haslett describes two cohorts. One includes companies that raised at high valuations in 2021, then had to adapt their strategies as AI changed the market. Slower growth and harder execution can show up as discounts. The other consists of AI-first companies founded from 2023 onward, which may have a cleaner market story and attract premiums when investors expect another valuation step-up soon.

Premium demand comes with financing exposure

Investor interest is extending beyond software to AI infrastructure, space technology and robotics, Haslett says. But secondary buyers still need to price the time and capital required to build factories or secure regulatory approvals, both of which can delay a valuation increase or exit.

What secondary buyers must weigh

  • Companies that need more capital require investors to decide whether the opportunity justifies a longer wait and additional fundraising.
  • Haslett says credit and asset-based financing have become more available for capital-intensive companies than five or six years ago.
  • In an underperformance or distressed-asset-sale scenario, creditors and lenders are paid before secondary shareholders, he says.

Older software is not priced out

EquityZen’s second-quarter data showed some software companies trading at premiums again. Haslett’s explanation is execution: leaders that use AI internally, add it to customer products, and build on existing customer loyalty and domain expertise have a stronger case with investors.

A more institutional market for liquidity

Morgan Stanley announced its EquityZen acquisition in October 2025 and completed it in January 2026. Haslett also pointed to Charles Schwab’s acquisition of Forge as evidence of consolidation, which he sees as a sign of growing adoption of secondary liquidity by large financial institutions.

Sources

  1. news.crunchbase.comInside The Private-Market Divide: EquityZen’s Phil Haslett On AI, SaaS And Secondaries