Better Data Led AI Training Efficiency Gains in Small-Scale Study

The six-year experiment separates changes in training data from changes in model design, but it cannot establish whether the same pattern holds at frontier scale.

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Better Data Led AI Training Efficiency Gains in Small-Scale Study
Better Data Led AI Training Efficiency Gains in Small-Scale Study

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A six-year comparison by Dwarkesh Patel and Jerry Han found that better training data delivered substantially larger efficiency gains than newer model designs—at least in the small experiments they ran. At the biggest tested budget, ten to the nineteenth FLOPs, data improvements produced a twelve-times gain relative to a 2019 baseline. Model improvements produced a 3.7-times gain, making the measured data advantage 3.24 times larger. The researchers reached that comparison by pairing year-specific model recipes with public datasets from 2019 through 2025. The data evolved from OpenWebText, with roughly nine billion tokens, to collections such as UltraFineWeb, which use broader web scrapes and more advanced filtering. On the model side, the recipes progressed from GPT-2 to OLMo-2, incorporating changes to optimization, positional encoding, normalization, activation functions, and initialization. They evaluated the runs with OLMES, an aggregate of ten relatively easy benchmarks, mostly multiple-choice question answering. The gains from data and model changes were largely independent: additive effects explained 88 percent of the variation in OLMES scores. But this is not evidence that data always matters more. The authors call the runs extremely small scale, and larger models may benefit more from corpus volume than average quality. They also did not test synthetic data. The key question is whether these results survive at frontier scale, and whether synthetic material can expand useful training data without reducing performance.

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Patel and Han’s 2019–2025 comparison suggests curated training data delivered far more measured pretraining efficiency than evolving model recipes in small-scale experiments: at 1e19 FLOPs, data changes yielded a 12× gain versus 3.7× from model changes. The findings support investing in corpus quality and filtering, but do not establish that data dominates at frontier scale. Results rely on OLMES, 10 relatively easy...

  1. 01

    At the largest budget, authors estimate data improvements were 3.24× larger than model improvements.

  2. 02

    Data and model gains were largely independent; additive effects explained 88% of OLMES-score variation.

  3. 03

    Runs paired GPT-2–to–OLMo-2-era recipes with public corpora from OpenWebText to UltraFineWeb.

A six-year comparison of open AI training methods found that newer data reduced the compute needed for tested capabilities more than newer model recipes did. The result sharpens the case for data curation as a source of pretraining progress, but it comes from small runs that may not represent frontier training.

Separate ingredients in a training run

Dwarkesh Patel and Jerry Han paired year-representative model recipes with public data corpora from 2019 through 2025. They trained those combinations at budgets up to 1e19 FLOPs, a measure of training computation, then assessed downstream capability with OLMES, an aggregate of 10 relatively easy benchmarks that are mostly multiple-choice question answering.

The data side moves from OpenWebText, a corpus of roughly 9 billion tokens, to later collections including UltraFineWeb, which use broader web scrapes and more sophisticated filtering. The model side spans GPT-2 to OLMo-2 and incorporates changes to optimization, positional encoding, normalization, activation functions and initialization.

Measured efficiency at the largest tested budget

0112.0×

Data improvements

At 1e19 FLOPs, the authors estimated a 12.0× compute-efficiency gain from data improvements relative to the 2019 baseline.

023.7×

Model improvements

At that budget, model improvements produced an estimated 3.7× gain; the authors calculate the data gain as 3.24 times larger in this experiment.

Efficiency is not the whole job of model research

The authors found the two sources of improvement were mostly independent: additive effects explained 88% of variation in OLMES scores. But they caution against treating the result as a broad ranking of data work over model work. Model research may instead enable larger, longer and more stable training runs by easing constraints such as instability, memory and bandwidth limits.

The central uncertainty is scale

Patel and Han describe their experiments as extremely small scale and call for larger tests. They hypothesize that careful filtering may benefit smaller models more, while larger models may gain more from a greater volume of material even when its average quality is lower. That is an explanation to test, not a result established by these runs.

Questions left open

  • Whether the measured gap persists at frontier training scales.
  • Whether synthetic data can expand a corpus without reducing model performance.
  • Whether results on OLMES capture broader model capabilities.

Synthetic data is especially consequential to the interpretation because the study did not test it. If data improvements are a key contributor to pretraining efficiency, the unanswered question is whether useful training material can be expanded beyond existing sources without weakening results.

Sources

  1. dwarkesh.comPretraining progress is mostly coming from data

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