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McKinsey Sees $7 Trillion Data-Center Buildout by 2030, Raising the Stakes for Power Gear

The forecast is an estimate, not committed spending. But rising orders, backlogs and liquid-cooling deployments show why electrical distribution and thermal management are becoming central to the AI infrastructure race.

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McKinsey Sees $7 Trillion Data-Center Buildout by 2030, Raising the Stakes for Power Gear
McKinsey Sees $7 Trillion Data-Center Buildout by 2030, Raising the Stakes for Power Gear

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Electrical equipment suppliers are already feeling the force of the AI infrastructure buildout. Eaton says orders in its Electrical Americas business rose 41 percent, while its total electrical backlog increased 43 percent. Vertiv has lifted its full-year 2026 net-sales growth outlook to 31 percent, and Schneider Electric says North American sales climbed 23 percent in the quarter ending June 30, 2026. Those results matter because McKinsey estimates global data-center investment could reach 7 trillion dollars through 2030. That is a forecast, not committed spending. But the bottleneck is becoming clearer: building facilities is not enough if the grid cannot deliver power, or if the systems cannot remove the resulting heat. Schneider expects installed global data-center capacity to reach about 200 gigawatts by 2030, roughly twice today’s level. At the same time, Nvidia’s roadmap raises power per server rack from about 227 kilowatts toward 400 kilowatts, with 800-volt direct-current distribution expected at the Rubin Ultra stage. That increases demand for medium-voltage switchgear, power-distribution equipment and cooling systems. Cooling is now part of the capacity equation. Schneider says it has deployed more than four gigawatts of liquid-cooling capacity, with Blackwell Ultra and Vera Rubin systems increasing thermal demands. NEMA projects data centers will drive 38 percent of U.S. electricity-consumption growth through 2037. The key constraint is whether power and cooling can scale as quickly as computing demand—and whether today’s orders become usable capacity on schedule.

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3 key points

McKinsey estimates data-center investment could reach $7 trillion through 2030, but grid access, power delivery and cooling may determine how quickly that capital becomes usable capacity. Schneider Electric expects installed capacity to reach about 200 GW, while Nvidia’s roadmap takes rack power from roughly 227 kW toward 400 kW and eventually 800-volt DC distribution. Supplier demand is already showing up in...

  1. 01

    S&P Global expects Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle and SpaceX to exceed $1.3 trillion in capital expenditures by 2027.

  2. 02

    NEMA projects data centers will drive 38% of U.S. electricity-consumption growth through 2037.

  3. 03

    Schneider says it has deployed more than 4 GW of liquid-cooling capacity as Blackwell Ultra and Vera Rubin systems raise thermal demands.

McKinsey projects global data-center investment could reach $7 trillion through 2030, a scale that shifts attention from the chips inside AI systems to the equipment that gets electricity to them and removes their heat. Recent results from Schneider Electric, Vertiv and Eaton show strong demand across power distribution, cooling and electrical equipment.

S&P Global projects capital expenditures by Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle and SpaceX will exceed $1.3 trillion by 2027. Schneider Electric expects installed global data-center capacity to reach about 200 gigawatts by 2030, up from roughly 100 gigawatts today.

The spending bottleneck is electrical capacity

More facilities alone do not explain the supplier opportunity. AI systems are also pushing more power into each rack, the cabinet that holds servers and networking equipment. Schneider’s Steve Carlini pointed to Nvidia’s infrastructure roadmap moving rack power from roughly 227 kilowatts toward 400 kilowatts, and said the industry will need 800-volt high-voltage DC distribution at the Rubin Ultra stage.

That raises the value of equipment that sits between a power source and computing hardware: medium-voltage switchgear, power distribution and cooling systems. It also makes electricity availability a binding condition on new capacity. NEMA projects data centers will account for 38% of net growth in U.S. electricity consumption through 2037.

Supplier demand is appearing in current results
23%Schneider Electric North America sales growth

Schneider Electric’s North American sales rose 23% in the second quarter ending June 30, 2026, contributing to record global revenue.

41%Eaton Electrical Americas orders growth

Eaton reported Electrical Americas orders up 41%, while its total electrical backlog rose 43%.

31%Vertiv full-year net-sales growth outlook

Vertiv raised its full-year 2026 net-sales growth outlook to 31%; operating profit rose 44% and adjusted operating profit rose 51% in the reported quarter.

Cooling becomes part of the power problem

Denser racks turn cooling from a supporting system into a capacity requirement. Schneider says it has deployed more than four gigawatts of liquid-cooling capacity. Carlini said the pace will rise as Blackwell Ultra and Vera Rubin systems are liquid-cooled, tying the thermal buildout directly to newer AI infrastructure generations.

The infrastructure chain extends beyond equipment makers

  • Schneider supplies power distribution, switchgear and cooling infrastructure for increasingly dense AI computing capacity.
  • Insight Enterprises reported consolidated net earnings up 65%, while Connection reported net income up 33.8%, indicating that the reseller channel is also participating in the buildout.
  • Carlini said large global internet companies are backing demand with purchase orders, not only long-range forecasts.

Sources

  1. forbes.comAI Data Center Investment Could Reach $7 Trillion By 2030: Who Wins