Research report 09 / Developer cadence

Model Release Velocity

Release frequency, developer share, model availability, and cadence from verified model launches.

Public editionLive dataset
Verified releases
11

11 total model launches

Developers
6

Named release organizations

Most active
OpenAI

5 releases

Open share
36%

Disclosed open availability/license

Interactive figureRelease velocity
CSV JSON
Data status11 verified records across 6 periods

Each bar is one month. Colored segments show how verified observations are distributed across series.

Verified observationHover or focus any mark for exact valuesData and chart downloads share this dataset
Coverage note

Release counts reflect the monitored source set and verified records, not every model published globally.

Dataset ID
spd:release-velocity
Coverage
2025-08/2026-08-18
Records
11
Fields
6
Formats
CSV / JSON
Updated

Read the data

The records behind the figure

CSV JSON
Model Release Velocity data records
DateModelDeveloperRelease typeAvailabilityLicense
2025-08-22GPT-4b microOpenAIexperimental researchdeveloped for research purposes; not broadly available
2025-12-11GPT-5.2OpenAIAPI and ChatGPT (model variants: GPT-5.2 Instant, GPT-5.2 Thinking, GPT-5.2 Pro)In ChatGPT: GPT-5.2 Instant, Thinking, and Pro begin rolling out today to paid plans; In the API: available now to all developers.
2025-12-16GPT Image 1.5OpenAIAPI and ChatGPT rolloutModel rolling out in ChatGPT for all users and available in the API as GPT Image 1.5; the new Images experience is rolling out to most ChatGPT users, with Business and Enterprise access coming later; global.
2026-04-07Claude Mythos PreviewAnthropicPreviewrestricted access (restricted-access rollout)
2026-06-09Claude Fable 5AnthropicPublic release (Mythos-class); available via API and EnterprisePublicly accessible via API and Enterprise; included in subscription plans through 2026-06-22 after which access requires purchase of usage credits; some sensitive-topic access restricted and Mythos 5 limited to vetted Project Glasswing participants
2026-07-08GPT-LiveOpenAIvoice model (full-duplex)Rolling out to ChatGPT users globally (ChatGPT Voice); API availability planned/coming soon. (Update 2026-07-31: SynthID watermarking and API verification access added for supported audio.)
2026-07-16Kimi K3Moonshotopen-weights release (weights published for public download)Weights published for anyone to download; model can be run locally on user hardwareLicense requires companies operating a model-as-a-service business with > $20M total annual revenue (over 12 months) to enter a separate agreement with Moonshot before commercial use.
2026-08-10Muse GlimmerMetaopen weightsConsumer hardware with 24 GB or 32 GB of memoryApache 2.0
2026-08-11Nemotron 3.5 LightningNvidiaopen weights (public release)Available through Nvidia and model repositories including Hugging Face and ModelScope; NeMo Switchyard available on GitHubOpenMDW-1.1
2026-08-12Qwen3.8-27B-CRACK-GGUFJinho Jang (dealign.ai)Open weights; GGUF quantizations packaged for local inference via llama.cppHugging Face repository; downloadable GGUF files and a 0.9 GB vision projector for local use
2026-08-18GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIAPILimited release to a small group of customers; wider access planned later

Methodology

How to read this report

  1. 01Each verified model-launch record contributes one release observation.
  2. 02Developer names are normalized during extraction; series preserve currently disclosed attribution.
  3. 03Release volume measures activity, not capability or adoption.

Sources

Evidence

9 publishers supporting 12 records. Expand a publisher to inspect its cited pages.

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